Model: TipA1
Derthona – ASD Imperia
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 53d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Derthona | ASD Imperia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L | D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 7.00 against | 7.50 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 7.00 against (home) | 7.50 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. ASD Imperia is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 17.0%
7D: 9.3%
15D: 9.7%
30D: 16.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Derthona – ASD Imperia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample88
Win Rate37.5%
Profit-3.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rio Claro U20 - Rio Branco EC U20 | 2.63 | 4.27% |
| WIN | LoPa - GrIFK Reservi | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Sutherland Sharks U20 - Blacktown City U20 | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | SK Treibach - SVG Bleiburg | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) - Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Perth SC U23 - Stirling Macedonia U23 | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Fenix Reserves - Lujan Reserves | 2.45 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Oriente - Club Aguara | 2 | 2.63 | 4.27% | 20 Jun 20:00 |
| North Lakes United - Springfield United | 2 | 2.60 | 4.27% | 21 Jun 09:00 |
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 53d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 4h ago