Model: TipA1
Fenix Reserves – Lujan Reserves
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.45
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 02, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 59m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 40m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Fenix Reserves | Lujan Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-D-L | W-D-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-L (home) | D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.25 scored / 4.50 conceded | 0.33 scored / 0.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 6.60 against | 6.60 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.33 for / 7.33 against (home) | 2.67 for / 1.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Lujan Reserves. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Lujan Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -10.6%
7D: 2.9%
15D: 18.8%
30D: 13.8%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.08First seen
Current2.47Now
Max odds2.47Highest point
Min odds1.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Fenix Reserves – Lujan Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-8.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | General Velásquez - Colchagua CD | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Reipas - Atlantis | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Gornik Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | IK Kongahälla - Astorps FF | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | FK Ostrov - Chomutov | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | FK Louny - SK Steti | 2.63 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Gold Coast United U23 - Peninsula Power U23 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | PSV (W) - Ajax (W) | 2.70 | 4.27% |
Pick
2 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Giu 02, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.85% • n=441
Start
Starts in 1h 59m
Updated
Updated 9h 40m ago