Model: TipTromba25H
SC Ben Arous – AS Megrine
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 29d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.94% · n=107
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.94% · n=107
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | SC Ben Arous | AS Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-W | D-D-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 11.00 for / 2.00 against | 3.00 for / 4.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 11.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 8.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. SC Ben Arous has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
SC Ben Arous – AS Megrine Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.94% and 0.94%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate57.1%
Profit+2.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Modbury Jets Reserves - Cumberland United Reserves | 2.25 | 0.43% |
| LOSS | TP-T - FC Haka Juniors | 2.35 | 0.94% |
| WIN | Parnu JK Vaprus - JK Trans Narva | 2.30 | 0.94% |
| LOSS | Belavistense U20 - Centro Oeste U20 | 2.25 | 0.94% |
| LOSS | Brora Rangers FC - FC Edinburgh | 2.45 | 0.94% |
| WIN | O'Connor Knights - Brindabella Blues FC | 2.30 | 0.94% |
| WIN | Louisville City FC - Austin FC | 2.45 | 0.94% |
Pick
1 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Apr 27, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.94% • n=107
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.94% • n=107
Start
Started 29d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 7h ago