Model: TIPPSH

TP-T vs FC Haka Juniors

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 14, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 58d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 58d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is TP-T. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TP-T

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.74Now

Max odds2.74Highest point

Min odds1.93Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TP-THOME

FC Haka JuniorsAWAY

LWLDL

Recent form

WLLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

2.75

Shots on target for

5.50

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

7.75

8.00

Home splitL-L-L1.33 scored / 3.33 conceded

Away splitW-L-L2.33 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.90% based on n=238 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 22.3% 7D: 4.2% 15D: -9.7% 30D: -1.3%

Model insight

TP-T – FC Haka Juniors Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate35.3%

Profit-3.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	FBK Karlstad - Umeå FC	2.30	6.90%
LOSS	FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland	2.51	6.90%
LOSS	FK Blansko - SK Unicov	2.45	6.90%
LOSS	Operario PR - Chapecoense	2.34	6.90%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin	1	2.35	6.90%	08 May 17:00

Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Mag 14, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.90% • n=238

Start

Started 58d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 58d 22h ago