Ina Goleniow – Chemik Police

Model: TipA1

Ina Goleniow vs Chemik Police

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 72d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.78% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.78% · n=16
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 72d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chemik Police. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chemik Police

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.86Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ina GoleniowHOME
VS
Chemik PoliceAWAY
L
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
1.00
3.00
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.00
Shots on target for
6.00
12.00
SoT conceded pressure
12.00
6.00
Home splitL1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.78% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.80
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.78% · n=16
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.78% · n=16
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Chemik Police has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Chemik Police has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -21.6% 7D: 3.5% 15D: 2.1% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Ina Goleniow – Chemik Police Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.78% and 4.78%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate39.0%
Profit+0.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSAtletico Oriente - Club Aguara2.634.27%
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LOSSRio Claro U20 - Rio Branco EC U202.634.27%
Pick
2 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.78% • n=16
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.78% • n=16
Start
Started 72d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 72d 16h ago
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