Model: TipA1

Odd BK vs Haugesund

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 1h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Haugesund. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Haugesund

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.77First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.77Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Odd BKHOME

HaugesundAWAY

DDLWW

Recent form

WLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

3.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.40

Shots on target for

5.80

8.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.80

Home splitD-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-L3.20 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Haugesund. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Haugesund has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 83.9% 7D: 45.0% 15D: 19.4% 30D: 5.3%

Model insight

Odd BK – Haugesund Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample94

Win Rate37.2%

Profit-4.57u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HFX Wanderers - Atletico Ottawa	2.55	4.27%
WIN	Universidad de Concepcion - Nublense	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Cerrado U20 - Atletico Goianiense U20	2.55	4.27%
LOSS	Piaui - Maguary PE	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	Atletico Oriente - Club Aguara	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	North Lakes United - Springfield United	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Rio Claro U20 - Rio Branco EC U20	2.63	4.27%
WIN	LoPa - GrIFK Reservi	2.50	4.27%

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Modbury Vista Reserves (W) - Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)	2	2.50	4.27%	04 Jul 04:15
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Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Lug 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Starts in 3d 1h

Updated

Updated 12m ago