Model: TipTromba3H
Quilmes Reserves – Argentino Merlo Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 26d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Quilmes Reserves | Argentino Merlo Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D-W | L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 0.33 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D-W (home) | L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 0.25 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 1.80 against | 1.67 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 1.50 against (home) | 2.50 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Quilmes Reserves has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Quilmes Reserves's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.71Now
Max odds2.71Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Quilmes Reserves – Argentino Merlo Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample118
Win Rate38.1%
Profit+1.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 26d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 2h ago