Model: TipTromba3H

Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.90

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 2:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 8h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Ameliano (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo Ameliano (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.275 | A: -0.181

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.90First seen

Current2.90Now

Max odds2.90Highest point

Min odds2.90Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo Ameliano (W)HOME

Sportivo Luqueno (W)AWAY

LLDDL

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

4.40

4.20

Shots on target for

4.20

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

7.00

8.20

Home splitL-D-L-L-L0.20 scored / 5.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.90. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.49% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Women League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.90

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Sportivo Ameliano (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Sportivo Ameliano (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 38.4% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 10.8% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Sportivo Ameliano (W) – Sportivo Luqueno (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.49% across 299 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample65

Win Rate43.1%

Profit+13.08u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	NEC - Sevilla	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Stal Brzeg - LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2.70	2.55%
LOSS	NK Kustosija - Karlovac	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	SC Lokeren-Temse - NAC	2.80	4.49%
WIN	AZ - Olympiacos	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	BVSC Zuglo - Kazincbarcikai BSC	2.88	4.49%
LOSS	Moreland City SC - Springvale White Eagles	2.90	4.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Los Andes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1	2.80	4.49%	01 Aug 22:00

Pick

1 @ 2.90

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 2:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.49% • n=299

Start

Starts in 1d 8h

Updated

Updated 6m ago