Model: TIPPSH
Juazeirense – ASA
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 27d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 19h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Juazeirense | ASA |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-D-W | D-L-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W-W (home) | D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.20 against | 3.40 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.67 for / 2.33 against (home) | 3.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Juazeirense. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Juazeirense's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Juazeirense – ASA Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate22.2%
Profit-3.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Haras El Hedoud - Petrojet | 2.87 | 7.96% |
| LOSS | FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland | 2.51 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal | 2.63 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | FK Blansko - SK Unicov | 2.45 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah | 2.45 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Escola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U19 | 2.70 | 6.90% |
| WIN | Fencibles United - Auckland FC II | 2.63 | 6.90% |
| LOSS | Hobro IK - AaB | 2.65 | 6.90% |
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.90% • n=238
Start
Started 27d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 19h ago