Model: TIPPSA
Dimas Escazu (W) – Sporting San Jose (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 6
StartStarted 26d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Dimas Escazu (W) | Sporting San Jose (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W | W-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.25 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 4.00 conceded | 4.50 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for / 6.25 against | 10.50 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 10.00 against (home) | 11.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Sporting San Jose (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.33Now
Max odds2.33Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Dimas Escazu (W) – Sporting San Jose (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample82
Win Rate53.7%
Profit+11.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 26d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 27d ago