Juazeirense – ASA

Model: TIPPSH

Juazeirense vs ASA

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 94d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.53% · n=59
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.53% · n=59
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 94d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Juazeirense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JuazeirenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.71Now
Max odds2.71Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JuazeirenseHOME
VS
ASAAWAY
DWWDW
Recent form
DLWDW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
3.80
Home splitD-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.85. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.53% based on n=59 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Nordeste (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.85
V2 BandELITEROI 9.53% · n=59
V4 BandELITEROI 9.53% · n=59
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Juazeirense's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -18.6% 7D: 2.1% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 15.1%
Model insight

Juazeirense – ASA Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.53% and 9.53%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate60.0%
Profit+7.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINVysocina Jihlava U19 - Slovan Liberec U192.809.53%
LOSSDoncaster - Stevenage2.779.53%
LOSSJuarez FC (W) - Chivas Guadalajara (W)2.889.53%
WINCork City - Kerry FC2.6310.00%
LOSSBahia U20 - Palmeiras U202.809.53%
Pick
1 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.53% • n=59
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.53% • n=59
Start
Started 94d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 94d 17h ago
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