Model: TIPPSA

Qingdao Red Lions vs Tai'an Tiankuang

PREDICTION

@ 2.49

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 30, 2026 11:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 103d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 103d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tai'an Tiankuang. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tai'an TiankuangGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.47Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Qingdao Red LionsHOME

Tai'an TiankuangAWAY

DLWDD

Recent form

DDLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

3.40

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

2.40

Home splitD-D-D1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitD-L-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.49. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.49

V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Tai'an Tiankuang as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tai'an Tiankuang's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -1.2% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 15.1%

Model insight

Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample69

Win Rate44.9%

Profit+6.68u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Brighton (W) - PSG (W)	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	FC Brno II - Frydek Mistek	2.42	0.84%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2.58	0.84%
LOSS	Dundee - Aberdeen	2.61	0.84%
WIN	Korona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II	2.25	0.84%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.49

Kickoff

Apr 30, 2026 11:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178

Start

Started 103d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 103d 8h ago