Dundee – Aberdeen

Model: TIPPSA

Dundee vs Aberdeen

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.61
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 14h 18m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aberdeen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AberdeenGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.012 | A: 0.082

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.65First seen
Current2.61Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.51Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DundeeHOME
VS
AberdeenAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.40
Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.61. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Premiership (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.61
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Aberdeen shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 17.0% 7D: 16.7% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

Dundee – Aberdeen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.61. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Brno II - Frydek Mistek22.420.84%09 Aug 10:15
Pick
2 @ 2.61
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 14h 18m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 12m ago
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