Model: TIPPSA
Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 40d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 41d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Qingdao Red Lions | Tai'an Tiankuang |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-D-D | D-D-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-D (home) | D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 4.20 against | 4.60 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.67 against (home) | 3.00 for / 2.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Tai'an Tiankuang has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -1.2%
7D: 13.6%
15D: 4.2%
30D: 15.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample133
Win Rate45.1%
Profit+0.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23 | 2.01 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 40d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 41d 1h ago