Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang

Model: TIPPSA

Qingdao Red Lions vs Tai'an Tiankuang

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 103d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 103d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tai'an Tiankuang. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tai'an TiankuangGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Qingdao Red LionsHOME
VS
Tai'an TiankuangAWAY
DLWDD
Recent form
DDLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
2.40
Home splitD-D-D1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitD-L-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.14% based on n=97 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Tai'an Tiankuang is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -1.2% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 15.1%
Model insight

Qingdao Red Lions – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample154
Win Rate44.2%
Profit-2.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINHuachipato - Everton de Vina2.294.13%
LOSSPSG - Man Utd2.082.63%
LOSSArbroath - Inverness CT2.273.43%
LOSSSarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia2.212.63%
LOSSSocial Atletico Television (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)2.222.63%
LOSSAnsan Greeners FC - Gimhae FC 20082.383.43%
WINHapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Haifa2.012.63%
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 103d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 103d 14h ago
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