Model: TIPPSA

Arbroath vs Inverness CT

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 6h 4m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Inverness CT. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Inverness CTGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.167 | A: 0.077

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.32First seen

Current2.33Now

Max odds2.33Highest point

Min odds2.29Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ArbroathHOME

Inverness CTAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

DWWWD

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.20

Shots on target for

2.80

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

1.20

Home splitW-L-W-L-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-W2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.43% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.27

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Inverness CT has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -1.3% 7D: 14.0% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Arbroath – Inverness CT Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.43% and 3.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample163

Win Rate41.1%

Profit-11.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia	2.21	2.63%
LOSS	Social Atletico Television (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2.22	2.63%
LOSS	Ansan Greeners FC - Gimhae FC 2008	2.38	3.43%
LOSS	New Mexico United - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2.36	4.13%
LOSS	AA Guarany - Atletico Gloriense	2.36	3.59%
WIN	FC Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	2.35	4.13%
LOSS	Sol de Mayo - Club Villa Mitre	2.15	2.63%
LOSS	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2.47	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
GBK - Huima/Urho	2	2.47	3.43%	08 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.43% • n=79

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.43% • n=79

Start

Starts in 6h 4m

Updated

Updated 1h 19m ago