UMF Selfoss vs Fjardabyggd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UMF Selfoss. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UMF SelfossGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.05% based on n=992 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
UMF Selfoss – Fjardabyggd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cagliari - Modena | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | GrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Goztepe - NK Rudes | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | CD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Noroeste - Uniao Sao Joao | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| WIN | LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayon Sports FC - Tusker | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 29 Jul 18:00 |
| Atletico Barinas - Real Frontera | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 29 Jul 21:30 |
| Valerenga - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |
| Næsby - Sundby | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 01 Aug 14:00 |
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 18:00 |