Model: TIPPSH

Ferrocarril Midland vs CA Guemes

PREDICTION

@ 1.96

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 11:30 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 68d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 69d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ferrocarril Midland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ferrocarril Midland

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

7/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.85First seen

Current1.96Now

Max odds1.99Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ferrocarril MidlandHOME

CA GuemesAWAY

WLWLD

Recent form

LLDLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

4.60

1.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

4.00

Home splitW-L-W-D0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-D-W1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.96

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Ferrocarril Midland has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -12.4% 7D: 4.9% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Ferrocarril Midland – CA Guemes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 1.96

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 11:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 68d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 69d 22h ago