Model: TIPPSH

Bohemians Dublin vs Derry City

PREDICTION

@ 1.92

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 01, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 70d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 71d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bohemians Dublin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bohemians Dublin

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.84First seen

Current1.88Now

Max odds1.94Highest point

Min odds1.84Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bohemians DublinHOME

Derry CityAWAY

DLLLD

Recent form

DWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.80

Shots on target for

5.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.80

Home splitD-L-D1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-D-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.92. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=212 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.92

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Bohemians Dublin's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -31.5% 7D: -1.9% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 10.8%

Model insight

Bohemians Dublin – Derry City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample311

Win Rate50.5%

Profit-7.61u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	1.78	3.37%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United	1.88	3.37%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.92

Kickoff

Mag 01, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.31% • n=212

Start

Started 70d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 71d 3h ago