Model: TipTromba45H

Queanbeyan City U23 vs Canberra Olympic U23

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:45 AM

ResultWIN5 - 1

StartStarted 70d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.80% · n=133

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.80% · n=133

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 71d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Queanbeyan City U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Queanbeyan City U23

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.00First seen

Current4.26Now

Max odds4.74Highest point

Min odds4.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Queanbeyan City U23HOME

Canberra Olympic U23AWAY

WWLL

Recent form

LWWW

Avg goals scored

2.25

3.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

2.25

Shots on target for

6.67

7.33

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

3.67

Home splitW-W-L2.67 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-W2.67 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.80% based on n=133 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Capital Territory U23 League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.80% · n=133

V4 BandLOWROI 1.80% · n=133

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -33.3% 7D: -4.2% 15D: -1.3% 30D: 10.1%

Model insight

Queanbeyan City U23 – Canberra Olympic U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.80% and 1.80%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate40.9%

Profit+14.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves	4.20	1.80%
LOSS	Fish United - NoPS	4.10	1.80%
WIN	Maties FC - Grassy Park United	4.00	1.80%
LOSS	SJK-j - FC Kiisto	4.00	1.80%
LOSS	Canuelas FC Reserves - Yupanqui Reserves	4.00	1.21%
WIN	VJS Vantaa - FF Jaro	4.10	1.80%
LOSS	ATUS Ferlach - SV Donau Klagenfurt	4.20	1.80%
LOSS	Monte Roraima - Manaus	4.00	1.21%

Pick

1 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Mag 02, 2026 6:45 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.80% • n=133

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.80% • n=133

Start

Started 70d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 71d 4h ago