Model: TipA1
Osasuna (W) – CD Alaves (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 39d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=553
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 39d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Osasuna (W) | CD Alaves (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L | D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.50 for / 5.00 against | 7.00 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 5.00 against (home) | 9.00 for / 2.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. CD Alaves (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.8%
7D: -4.3%
15D: -1.5%
30D: 10.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.16Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Osasuna (W) – CD Alaves (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 553 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample126
Win Rate52.4%
Profit+11.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Canberra FC U23 - Queanbeyan City U23 | 2.20 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Uruguay (W) - Venezuela (W) | 2.20 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Enppi - El Masry | 2.00 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Monori SE - Gyirmot SE | 2.00 | -1.35% |
| LOSS | VJS Vantaa II - PPJ/Lauttasaari | 2.15 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Independiente Rivadavia U20 - Barracas Central U20 | 2.20 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Port Melbourne U23 - Brunswick City U23 | 2.15 | -1.48% |
| WIN | Gold Coast United (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 2.20 | -1.48% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense SC - CA Metropolitano | 2 | 2.10 | -1.48% | 11 Jun 01:00 |
| Nordstrand U19 - Ullern U19 | 2 | 2.20 | -3.85% | 11 Jun 18:30 |
| FC LeKi - TPV II | 2 | 2.10 | -1.48% | 12 Jun 17:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=553
Start
Started 39d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 39d 16h ago