Uruguay (W) – Venezuela (W)

Model: TipA1

Uruguay (W) vs Venezuela (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 10, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 54d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Venezuela (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Venezuela (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.27Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Uruguay (W)HOME
VS
Venezuela (W)AWAY
DLLWL
Recent form
DWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.75
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.25
Shots on target for
3.00
7.25
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
2.75
Home splitD-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-L1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONMEBOL Nations League Women. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Venezuela (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -13.4% 7D: -7.8% 15D: -0.9% 30D: 12.3%
Model insight

Uruguay (W) – Venezuela (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample190
Win Rate48.9%
Profit+3.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBromley - QPR2.05-3.85%
WINSJK Akatemia II - GBK2.10-1.48%
LOSSEC Barretos U20 - CA Penapolense U202.20-1.48%
WINHerd - Volda2.00-1.48%
LOSSNewell's - Boca Juniors2.20-1.48%
LOSSKV Vesturbaer - Reynir Sandgerdi2.20-1.48%
WINLAUTP - MP II2.20-1.48%
LOSSFerro Carril Oeste (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)2.20-1.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Marquense - CSD Municipal22.15-3.85%02 Aug 23:00
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Giu 10, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Started 54d ago
Updated
Updated 56d 2h ago
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