Leyton Orient – Burton Albion

Model: TIPPSA

Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 71d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 71d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Burton Albion. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Burton Albion

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Leyton OrientHOME
VS
Burton AlbionAWAY
DLLDL
Recent form
DDDWD
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
2.40
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
2.60
Home splitD-L-D-L0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitD-D-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.94. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 1 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.94
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.23% · n=45
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Burton Albion shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Burton Albion has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.1% 7D: -1.6% 15D: 0.6% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

Leyton Orient – Burton Albion Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 45 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate10.0%
Profit-6.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.965.37%
WINMFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B4.005.37%
LOSSIA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U193.925.37%
LOSSSousa EC - Maguary PE3.755.37%
LOSSZnicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U194.035.37%
Pick
2 @ 3.94
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.23% • n=45
Start
Started 71d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 71d 6h ago
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