LDU Quito – SD Aucas

Model: TIPPSA

LDU Quito – SD Aucas

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 53d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 7h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric LDU Quito SD Aucas
Last 5 form D-W-W-L-W D-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.00 1.00
Avg goals conceded 0.20 0.00
Home/Away form D-W-L (home) D-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded 0.67 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 3.00 for / 4.80 against 5.50 for / 1.50 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.67 for / 3.67 against (home) 4.00 for / 1.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. SD Aucas is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.4% 7D: -6.4% 15D: 18.6% 30D: 14.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.61First seen
Current4.20Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds4.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

LDU Quito – SD Aucas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate29.4%
Profit+5.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDijon - US Orleans 454.50-0.38%
LOSSZira IK - FK Gabala4.44-2.42%
WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
WINBodrum FK - Sariyer4.33-0.38%
LOSSFC Utrecht - NAC4.30-0.38%
LOSSJacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas4.42-0.38%
LOSSDeportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)4.28-2.42%
LOSSCD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U194.31-0.38%
Pick
2 @ 4.32
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 53d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 7h ago
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