LDU Quito – SD Aucas

Model: TIPPSA

LDU Quito vs SD Aucas

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 110d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 111d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SD Aucas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SD AucasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

82/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.61First seen
Current4.20Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds4.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LDU QuitoHOME
VS
SD AucasAWAY
DWWLW
Recent form
DWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.20
0.00
Shots on target for
3.00
5.50
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
1.50
Home splitD-W-L0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitD-W-W0.67 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.32. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.80% based on n=30 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.32
V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 BandELITEROI 10.80% · n=30
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. SD Aucas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -6.4% 7D: -6.4% 15D: 18.6% 30D: 14.9%
Model insight

LDU Quito – SD Aucas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate29.4%
Profit+5.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
WINBodrum FK - Sariyer4.33-0.38%
LOSSFC Utrecht - NAC4.30-0.38%
LOSSJacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas4.42-0.38%
LOSSDeportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)4.28-2.42%
LOSSCD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U194.31-0.38%
Pick
2 @ 4.32
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 110d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 111d ago
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