Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 24d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Valur Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
Last 5 form L-W-W-W-L W-W-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 2.20 4.40
Avg goals conceded 1.80 1.80
Home/Away form L-W-W-L (home) W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded 5.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 3.50 for / 5.25 against 10.20 for / 4.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.67 for / 4.00 against (home) 9.00 for / 3.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to KR Reykjavik's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.96First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-11.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
LOSSRadnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka2.182.63%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
WINHelsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC2.634.13%
WINGuayaquil City - Orense2.483.59%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 24d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 25d ago
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