Model: TIPPSA

Helsingborg vs Varbergs BoIS FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.16

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 52d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Varbergs BoIS FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.62First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.76Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HelsingborgHOME

Varbergs BoIS FCAWAY

LDDWL

Recent form

WWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.00

Shots on target for

4.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

2.20

Home splitL-D-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-D2.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Superettan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.16

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 16.6% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 1.7%

Model insight

Helsingborg – Varbergs BoIS FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample96

Win Rate55.2%

Profit+17.22u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2.04	1.21%
LOSS	Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
WIN	Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	IFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Nunawading - Keilor Park	2.25	0.84%
WIN	MyPa - PPJ	2.06	1.76%

Pick

2 @ 2.16

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 52d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 53d ago