Real Avila vs Deportivo Fabril
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Deportivo Fabril. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Deportivo FabrilValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.42. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Deportivo Fabril. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportivo Fabril's attacking profile.
Real Avila – Deportivo Fabril Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Ghana - Panama | 3.35 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |