Model: TIPPSH
Ponte Preta – Sport Recife
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.84
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 17d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-L | W-W-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-D (home) | W-L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.20 against | 3.80 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.75 for / 4.25 against (home) | 2.00 for / 4.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.59First seen
Current2.84Now
Max odds2.84Highest point
Min odds2.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ponte Preta – Sport Recife Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate27.3%
Profit-7.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| LOSS | Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka | 2.89 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca | 2.98 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| WIN | St. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC | 2.76 | -3.20% |
| LOSS | Lechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw | 2.94 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Ceara - Atletico Mineiro | 2.96 | -3.20% |
| WIN | El Porvenir - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.75 | -3.20% |
Pick
1 @ 2.84
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 17d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 19d 13h ago