Middlesbrough – Southampton

Model: TIPPSH

Middlesbrough – Southampton

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 18d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21d 23h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Middlesbrough Southampton
Last 5 form D-D-W-W-D D-W-D-L-D
Avg goals scored 2.00 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.40
Home/Away form D-W-W-L-L (home) D-W-L-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded 2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 6.20 for / 2.80 against 3.20 for / 6.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.20 for / 1.60 against (home) 4.40 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Middlesbrough's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

Middlesbrough – Southampton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate41.5%
Profit-0.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRouen - Laval2.29-1.54%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
LOSSF91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen2.38-1.54%
LOSSPadova U19 - Venezia U192.38-1.54%
WINSport Boys - Cusco FC2.36-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
LOSSSt Gallen - FC Thun2.25-1.54%
LOSSMontana - Spartak Varna2.44-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 18d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 21d 23h ago
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