Model: TipTromba45H

ATUS Ferlach vs SV Donau Klagenfurt

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 63d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.80% · n=133

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.80% · n=133

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 64d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is ATUS Ferlach. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ATUS Ferlach

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.07First seen

Current4.37Now

Max odds4.37Highest point

Min odds2.46Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ATUS FerlachHOME

SV Donau KlagenfurtAWAY

DDLLW

Recent form

DWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.20

Shots on target for

3.50

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

3.40

Home splitD-L-W-W1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.80% based on n=133 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Landesliga (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.80% · n=133

V4 BandLOWROI 1.80% · n=133

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor ATUS Ferlach. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -34.8% 7D: -18.4% 15D: -8.4% 30D: 6.2%

Model insight

ATUS Ferlach – SV Donau Klagenfurt Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.80% and 1.80%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample25

Win Rate44.0%

Profit+20.16u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Byåsen - Melhus	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves	4.20	1.80%
LOSS	Fish United - NoPS	4.10	1.80%
WIN	Maties FC - Grassy Park United	4.00	1.80%
LOSS	SJK-j - FC Kiisto	4.00	1.80%
LOSS	Canuelas FC Reserves - Yupanqui Reserves	4.00	1.21%
WIN	VJS Vantaa - FF Jaro	4.10	1.80%
WIN	AS Binah - ASKO Kara	4.33	1.72%

Pick

1 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.80% • n=133

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.80% • n=133

Start

Started 63d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 64d 8h ago