LDU Portoviejo vs Atletico FC Guayaquil
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is LDU Portoviejo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LDU PortoviejoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.50% based on n=493 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie B (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, LDU Portoviejo has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to LDU Portoviejo's attacking profile.
LDU Portoviejo – Atletico FC Guayaquil Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20 | 2.55 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2.50 | 2.55% |
| WIN | Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W) | 2.70 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Auckland FC II - Western Springs AFC | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | FC Gori - FC Gareji | 2.55 | 2.55% |