Model: TipTromba3H

Polissya Zhytomyr vs CSKA Sofia

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 46d 10h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Polissya Zhytomyr. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Polissya ZhytomyrGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.48First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds3.48Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Polissya ZhytomyrHOME

CSKA SofiaAWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

LWLDL

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.80

Shots on target for

7.80

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.80

Home splitW-W-W-W-D2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-W0.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.49% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Polissya Zhytomyr is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -10.3% 7D: -4.4% 15D: -0.9% 30D: -2.8%

Model insight

Polissya Zhytomyr – CSKA Sofia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.49% across 299 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample157

Win Rate36.3%

Profit-4.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Universidad de Concepcion - Curico Unido	2.88	4.49%
LOSS	Sportivo Ameliano (W) - Sportivo Luqueno (W)	2.90	4.49%
LOSS	NEC - Sevilla	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Stal Brzeg - LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2.70	2.55%
LOSS	Sunderland - Leeds	2.50	2.55%
LOSS	NK Kustosija - Karlovac	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Kedah FA U20 - Kuching City U20	2.55	2.55%

Pick

1 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.49% • n=299

Start

Started 46d 10h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 3h ago