FC Cartagena – Alcorcon

Model: TIPPSA

FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.11
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 63d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alcorcon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alcorcon

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.62First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.62Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC CartagenaHOME
VS
AlcorconAWAY
WDWLW
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
4.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.00
Home splitW-W-W1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded
Away splitL-W-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.11. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.51% based on n=382 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.11
V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alcorcon's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.7% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -7.8% 30D: 5.6%
Model insight

FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample55
Win Rate34.5%
Profit+2.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
LOSSBlacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U202.94-1.07%
LOSSDefensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig2.86-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.11
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 63d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 64d 5h ago
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