Valur Reykjavik – Keflavik

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.87
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keflavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Keflavik

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

18/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current2.87Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds2.77Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Valur ReykjavikHOME
VS
KeflavikAWAY
DLLLW
Recent form
DLLWD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.00
Shots on target for
3.80
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
5.40
Home splitD-L-W-L-W1.80 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-L1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.87. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.87
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Keflavik has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.8% 7D: -0.9% 15D: 2.0% 30D: -1.0%
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – Keflavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample47
Win Rate36.2%
Profit+2.31u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha2.82-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
LOSSBlacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U202.94-1.07%
LOSSDefensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig2.86-1.07%
LOSSEgypt (W) - Tunisia (W)2.78-1.07%
WINAlbania - Israel2.86-1.07%
LOSSPSG - Arsenal3.12-1.07%
WINFC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv2.77-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.87
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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