Valur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Keflavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: KeflavikGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.87. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Keflavik's attacking profile.
Valur Reykjavik – Keflavik Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Manta FC - Mushuc Runa | 2.82 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 3.00 | -1.07% |
| WIN | HNK Gorica - NK Osijek | 3.11 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Mold Alexandra - Caersws | 3.08 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Cobh Ramblers - Wexford FC | 2.82 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Hellas Kagran - SV Donau | 2.79 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Sundby - Ringsted IF | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| WIN | KuPS (W) - Aland United (W) | 3.00 | -1.07% |