Model: TIPPSA
FC Cartagena – Alcorcon
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 33d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Cartagena | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-L-W | L-L-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.60 against | 5.40 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Alcorcon is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.7%
7D: -14.6%
15D: -7.8%
30D: 5.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.62First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.62Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample42
Win Rate26.2%
Profit-4.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
Pick
2 @ 3.45
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 33d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 8h ago