Model: TIPPSA
FC Cartagena – Alcorcon
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 18d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Cartagena | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-L-W | L-L-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.60 against | 5.40 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Alcorcon is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.62First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.62Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate38.5%
Profit+4.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2.77 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Burnley - Wolverhampton | 2.90 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - FF Jaro | 3.03 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Sturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II | 2.88 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | HB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota | 2.85 | -0.51% |
| WIN | FC Thun - Young Boys | 2.93 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Hradec Kralove - Slovan Liberec | 2.86 | -0.51% |
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 18d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 14h ago