FC Chernigiv – FC Metalist Kharkiv

Model: TIPPSA

FC Chernigiv vs FC Metalist Kharkiv

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 46d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Metalist Kharkiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Metalist Kharkiv

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.73First seen
Current3.37Now
Max odds3.65Highest point
Min odds2.73Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC ChernigivHOME
VS
FC Metalist KharkivAWAY
LLDDW
Recent form
WDWLD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
1.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
2.00
Home splitL-L-D-L-W1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-D0.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.34. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.77% based on n=237 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ukraine Persha Liga (ua). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.34
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Metalist Kharkiv has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. FC Metalist Kharkiv has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.4% 7D: 31.1% 15D: 25.6% 30D: 7.3%
Model insight

FC Chernigiv – FC Metalist Kharkiv Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate36.4%
Profit+7.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSGhana - Panama3.354.77%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSWidzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice3.284.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.34
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Start
Started 46d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 6h ago
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