Model: TipTromba6H
PSG (W) – Lyon (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 16d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.29% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.29% · n=11
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | PSG (W) | Lyon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-W | W-W-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded | 3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 1.40 against | 4.60 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 1.75 against (home) | 4.00 for / 4.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, PSG (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.50First seen
Current5.86Now
Max odds5.96Highest point
Min odds5.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
PSG (W) – Lyon (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.29% and 3.29%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate11.1%
Profit-3.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HPS (W) - HJK (W) | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| WIN | Universitario De Vinto - Bolivar | 5.25 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Vevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | FC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Sellos Colombianos U19 - Atletico Nacional Medellin U19 | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Pinheirense EC U20 - Clube do Remo U20 | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | ACE - Pargas IF | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Angelholm - Trelleborgs FF | 5.25 | 3.63% |
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.29% • n=11
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.29% • n=11
Start
Started 16d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 11h ago