PSG (W) – Lyon (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

PSG (W) vs Lyon (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 61d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.29% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.29% · n=11
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 62d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PSG (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PSG (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.50First seen
Current5.86Now
Max odds5.96Highest point
Min odds5.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PSG (W)HOME
VS
Lyon (W)AWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WWWDL
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.40
4.80
Home splitL-W-W-W1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.29% based on n=11 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Cup Women (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.29% · n=11
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.29% · n=11
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 14.7% 7D: -7.0% 15D: -2.2% 30D: 6.0%
Model insight

PSG (W) – Lyon (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.29% and 3.29%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate9.1%
Profit-5.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCancun FC - Unam Pumas5.502.00%
LOSSLidköpings FK - Skovde AIK5.502.00%
LOSSHPS (W) - HJK (W)5.503.63%
WINUniversitario De Vinto - Bolivar5.253.63%
LOSSVevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle5.503.63%
LOSSFC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W)5.503.63%
LOSSSellos Colombianos U19 - Atletico Nacional Medellin U195.503.63%
LOSSPinheirense EC U20 - Clube do Remo U205.503.63%
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.29% • n=11
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.29% • n=11
Start
Started 61d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 62d 13h ago
Torna in alto