Model: TIPPSA
Deportivo Moquegua – AD Tarma
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 17d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Deportivo Moquegua | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L-W | D-W-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W (home) | D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 4.00 against | 6.20 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.33 against (home) | 6.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. AD Tarma has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.06First seen
Current3.05Now
Max odds3.06Highest point
Min odds2.94Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Deportivo Moquegua – AD Tarma Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate46.2%
Profit+8.82u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems | 2.82 | 7.70% |
| WIN | Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W) | 2.83 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Madura United - Bali United | 2.82 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 3.00 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Aubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin | 2.76 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Nantes (W) - Lyon (W) | 3.01 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W) | 3.02 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Bronshoj BK - Horsholm-Usserod IK | 2.79 | 6.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.94
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.31% • n=124
Start
Started 17d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 6h ago