Model: TipA1
Peninsula Power – Gold Coast Knights
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 11d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Gold Coast Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-L-L | L-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L (home) | L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.20 against | 5.50 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.33 for / 4.33 against (home) | 3.50 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Peninsula Power – Gold Coast Knights Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.83% across 574 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample72
Win Rate36.1%
Profit+2.56u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Dukla Praha (W) - FK Teplice (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | CD Marathon - Motagua | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | SV Donau - SC Wiener Viktoria | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Gladesville Ravens (W) - Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2.70 | 7.37% |
| LOSS | Antequera - Juventud Torremolinos CF | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | EIF Academy - ESPA | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | St George City FA - Manly Utd | 2.90 | 5.52% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania - Ascoli | 2 | 2.88 | 5.52% | 27 May 21:00 |
Pick
2 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.83% • n=574
Start
Started 11d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 23h ago