Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 13d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.91% · n=66
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.91% · n=66
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13d 20h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Penarol AM (W) Doce Mel EC (W)
Last 5 form L-W-W-W-W W-L-D-D-L
Avg goals scored 2.80 0.60
Avg goals conceded 1.20 1.40
Home/Away form L-W-W-W (home) W-L-D-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Shots on target 9.00 for / 6.00 against 4.60 for / 6.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 9.00 for / 6.00 against (home) 4.25 for / 6.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Penarol AM (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Penarol AM (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.91% and -0.91%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample69
Win Rate29.0%
Profit-6.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCF Jaraiz - CD Badajoz3.10-0.30%
LOSSUrawa Red Diamonds - FC Tokyo3.00-0.30%
LOSSHodd - Sogndal3.08-0.30%
LOSSReal Noroeste Capixaba - Rio Branco ES3.20-0.30%
LOSSCavalier - Montego Bay Utd3.00-0.30%
WINBotev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna3.10-0.30%
LOSSSlovan Liberec - Sparta Prague3.00-0.30%
WINMacarthur Rams (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)3.20-0.30%
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.91% • n=66
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.91% • n=66
Start
Started 13d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 13d 20h ago
Torna in alto