Model: TipA1

Real Tomayapo vs Club Aurora

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 57d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.57% · n=364

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 58d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Aurora. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club Aurora

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real TomayapoHOME

Club AuroraAWAY

LWLLD

Recent form

WDWWD

Avg goals scored

0.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.00

Shots on target for

3.00

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

4.00

Home splitL-W-D-D0.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitW-D-D1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.57% based on n=364 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.35

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.39% · n=969

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.57% · n=364

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Club Aurora. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Club Aurora is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 29.9% 7D: 15.9% 15D: -5.8% 30D: -1.0%

Model insight

Real Tomayapo – Club Aurora Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.57% across 364 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample178

Win Rate40.4%

Profit-7.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Union FC Macomb - AFC Ann Arbor	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Marcilio Dias - Portuguesa Desportos	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	HPS - Reipas	2.50	4.27%
WIN	Hurstville FC - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	SC Kalsdorf - FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2.60	4.27%
WIN	Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2.50	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
EDO ALL United - Nankatsu SC	2	2.25	4.27%	12 Jul 11:00
Central Ballester - General Lamadrid	2	2.30	4.27%	12 Jul 18:00
CFD La Nororiental - Molino Viejo	2	2.45	4.27%	12 Jul 19:00
Anapolis FC - Maringa FC	2	2.30	4.27%	12 Jul 21:00

Pick

2 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.57% • n=364

Start

Started 57d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 58d 1h ago