Union FC Macomb vs AFC Ann Arbor
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is AFC Ann Arbor. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AFC Ann ArborValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League Two (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. AFC Ann Arbor has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Union FC Macomb – AFC Ann Arbor Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Linfield - Kilmarnock | 2.00 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Marcilio Dias - Portuguesa Desportos | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | HPS - Reipas | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Hurstville FC - Canterbury Bankstown FC | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23 | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Modbury Vista Reserves (W) - Salisbury Inter Reserves (W) | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Keilor Park | 2.10 | 3.75% |