Union FC Macomb – AFC Ann Arbor

Model: TipA1

Union FC Macomb vs AFC Ann Arbor

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 08, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 2h 22m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 24m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AFC Ann Arbor. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AFC Ann Arbor

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.23First seen
Current1.82Now
Max odds2.23Highest point
Min odds1.66Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Union FC MacombHOME
VS
AFC Ann ArborAWAY
DLDLL
Recent form
DWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.80
Defensive weakness
3.60
2.00
Shots on target for
5.40
8.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
5.00
Home splitD-L-D-L-L1.60 scored / 3.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-L2.20 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League Two (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. AFC Ann Arbor has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -32.1% 7D: 19.5% 15D: 24.1% 30D: 14.7%
Model insight

Union FC Macomb – AFC Ann Arbor Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Lug 08, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Start
Started 2h 22m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 24m ago
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