FK Karvan – FK Gabala

Model: TipA1

FK Karvan vs FK Gabala

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 15, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 59d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.39% · n=268
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.39% · n=268
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 60d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Gabala. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Gabala

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK KarvanHOME
VS
FK GabalaAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WDLDL
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
2.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
3.20
Home splitL-L-W-W1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W1.00 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.39% based on n=268 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Azerbaijan Premier League (az). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.10
V2 BandNONEROI -1.39% · n=268
V4 BandNONEROI -1.39% · n=268
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FK Gabala. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FK Gabala is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 29.9% 7D: 17.7% 15D: -5.2% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

FK Karvan – FK Gabala Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.39% and -1.39%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample161
Win Rate49.7%
Profit+5.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCeara (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)2.05-1.48%
LOSSDefensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U202.20-1.48%
LOSSJK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II2.15-1.48%
WINSt. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)2.05-3.85%
LOSSHolland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U232.10-3.85%
WINOsasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U202.00-1.48%
LOSSSelfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U192.10-1.48%
LOSSPonte Preta U20 - Santos U202.10-1.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Argentino Quilmes - Arsenal de Sarandi22.15-1.48%14 Jul 20:00
Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Mag 15, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.39% • n=268
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.39% • n=268
Start
Started 59d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 60d 21h ago
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