Argentino Quilmes – Arsenal de Sarandi

Model: TipA1

Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal de Sarandi

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 20h 32m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.90% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Arsenal de Sarandi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Arsenal de Sarandi

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

10/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.32Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Argentino QuilmesHOME
VS
Arsenal de SarandiAWAY
LLDWD
Recent form
WWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
1.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
1.80
Home splitL-D-W-D-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.90% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandNONEROI -4.90% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Arsenal de Sarandi a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Arsenal de Sarandi's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

Argentino Quilmes – Arsenal de Sarandi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.48% and -4.90%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample161
Win Rate49.7%
Profit+5.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCeara (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)2.05-1.48%
LOSSDefensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U202.20-1.48%
LOSSJK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II2.15-1.48%
WINSt. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)2.05-3.85%
LOSSHolland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U232.10-3.85%
WINOsasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U202.00-1.48%
LOSSSelfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U192.10-1.48%
LOSSPonte Preta U20 - Santos U202.10-1.48%
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.90% • n=286
Start
Starts in 20h 32m
Updated
Updated 4h 27m ago
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