Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad

Model: TIPPSA

Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 59d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 59d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aarhus Fremad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aarhus Fremad

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.71Now
Max odds2.71Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hobro IKHOME
VS
Aarhus FremadAWAY
LDDWL
Recent form
WDWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.40
Shots on target for
4.40
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
2.20
Home splitL-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.71. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.71
V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Aarhus Fremad is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 29.9% 7D: 17.7% 15D: -5.2% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate43.5%
Profit+2.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
WINTulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.670.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
LOSSTPS - VPS Vaasa2.480.84%
LOSSCerezo Osaka - FC Tokyo2.460.84%
LOSSNK Primorje Ajdovscina - NK Nafta 19032.550.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.71
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178
Start
Started 59d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 59d 5h ago
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