Maritimo vs Chaves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chaves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChavesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.80. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Chaves's attacking profile.
Maritimo – Chaves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Goias - Vila Nova | 3.89 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Espanyol - Levante | 3.91 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W) | 3.87 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | LDU Quito - SD Aucas | 3.96 | 5.37% |
| WIN | MFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B | 4.00 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | IA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U19 | 3.92 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Sousa EC - Maguary PE | 3.75 | 5.37% |
| LOSS | Znicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U19 | 4.03 | 5.37% |