Model: TipTromba25H
Nova Iguacu – Sampaio Correa RJ
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 10d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.13% · n=183
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.13% · n=183
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Nova Iguacu | Sampaio Correa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-L-D | L-L-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L (home) | L-L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 3.00 against | 1.60 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.67 for / 1.33 against (home) | 1.80 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Historical model data adds support here, as similar ELITE selections have produced encouraging results. Nova Iguacu is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Nova Iguacu – Sampaio Correa RJ Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.13% and 8.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate69.6%
Profit+11.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Vaengir Jupiters - Alftanes | 2.20 | 8.59% |
| WIN | PPJ/Lauttasaari - Valtti | 2.20 | 8.59% |
| WIN | Cannes - US Lusitanos Saint-Maur | 2.10 | 8.13% |
| WIN | Central Coast United FC - Inner West Hawks | 2.35 | 9.44% |
| LOSS | LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin | 2.10 | 8.13% |
| WIN | Fulham United FC - Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 2.00 | 8.13% |
| LOSS | DC Power (W) - Dallas Trinity (W) | 2.10 | 8.13% |
| WIN | Independencia - GA Sampaio | 2.10 | 8.13% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyor Eto FC (W) - MTK Hungaria (W) | 1 | 2.15 | 8.59% | 27 May 17:30 |
| Hutnik Krakow II - Watra Bialka Tatrzanska | 1 | 2.10 | 8.59% | 27 May 18:00 |
| Melbourne City FC 2 - Dandenong City | 1 | 2.10 | 8.59% | 30 May 07:00 |
| Lake Macquarie (W) - New Lambton FC (W) | 1 | 2.20 | 8.59% | 31 May 08:00 |
| Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks | 1 | 2.00 | 8.59% | 31 May 10:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.13% • n=183
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.13% • n=183
Start
Started 10d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 11d ago