Lake Macquarie (W) – New Lambton FC (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Lake Macquarie (W) vs New Lambton FC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 02, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 49d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lake Macquarie (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lake Macquarie (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.45Now
Max odds2.67Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lake Macquarie (W)HOME
VS
New Lambton FC (W)AWAY
LDWWD
Recent form
WWLDW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
3.00
Shots on target for
6.20
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
6.20
Home splitL-W-W2.67 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitW-W-L2.33 scored / 3.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.01. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.01
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Lake Macquarie (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 32.1% 7D: 30.0% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

Lake Macquarie (W) – New Lambton FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample354
Win Rate49.2%
Profit-12.90u
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WINDetroit City FC - Indy Eleven1.763.37%
LOSSGold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves1.793.37%
LOSSHamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik1.783.37%
WINGimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W)1.883.37%
LOSSSpartans - Stirling2.252.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Giu 02, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 49d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 50d ago
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