Lake Macquarie (W) vs New Lambton FC (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lake Macquarie (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Lake Macquarie (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.01. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Lake Macquarie (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Lake Macquarie (W) – New Lambton FC (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Braga - Celta Vigo | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Columbus Crew II - Philadelphia Union II | 2.17 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Gold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves | 1.79 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Hamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Gimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W) | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Spartans - Stirling | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Cuiaba - Atletico GO | 1 | 2.26 | 2.49% | 24 Jul 01:30 |
| ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Otelul Galati | 1 | 2.10 | 3.37% | 24 Jul 17:30 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 | 2.18 | 3.37% | 24 Jul 18:30 |
| Phoenix Rising FC - Hartford Athletic | 1 | 2.09 | 3.37% | 26 Jul 04:30 |
| Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1 | 1.94 | 3.37% | 26 Jul 15:00 |