Souths United – SWQ Thunder

Model: TIPPSA

Souths United vs SWQ Thunder

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 56d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.72% · n=146
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SWQ Thunder. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SWQ Thunder

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current3.10Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Souths UnitedHOME
VS
SWQ ThunderAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.80
Shots on target for
3.25
11.33
SoT conceded pressure
5.50
5.33
Home splitL-W-W2.00 scored / 2.33 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L2.75 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.72% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.10
V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 BandNONEROI -3.72% · n=146
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to SWQ Thunder's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 29.9% 7D: 16.5% 15D: -6.2% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Souths United – SWQ Thunder Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.51% and -3.72%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample56
Win Rate33.9%
Profit+1.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
LOSSBlacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U202.94-1.07%
LOSSDefensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig2.86-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.72% • n=146
Start
Started 56d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 14h ago
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