Hodd – Sogndal

Model: TipTromba35H

Hodd vs Sogndal

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 75d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.30% · n=731
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 75d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hodd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HoddGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current3.04Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds2.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HoddHOME
VS
SogndalAWAY
DWWDL
Recent form
DWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
5.20
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.20
Home splitD-W-L-W1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-L1.25 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.04. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.30% based on n=731 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.04
V2 BandNONEROI -0.30% · n=731
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 26.7% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 2.2%
Model insight

Hodd – Sogndal Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.04. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.30% across 731 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample69
Win Rate29.0%
Profit-6.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCF Jaraiz - CD Badajoz3.10-0.30%
LOSSUrawa Red Diamonds - FC Tokyo3.00-0.30%
LOSSReal Noroeste Capixaba - Rio Branco ES3.20-0.30%
LOSSCavalier - Montego Bay Utd3.00-0.30%
WINBotev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna3.10-0.30%
LOSSSlovan Liberec - Sparta Prague3.00-0.30%
WINMacarthur Rams (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)3.20-0.30%
WINAston Villa - Liverpool3.04-0.30%
Pick
1 @ 3.04
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.30% • n=731
Start
Started 75d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 75d 6h ago
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